Destined to Debts: descendant to Dependency Development

Collective on Geoeconomics

1/11/2022

PROLOGUE

There are multiple crises in country’s economic developmental effort since gaining independence that culminated to present precarious state of a nation in trillion dollar debts after six and a half decades of economic growth. By itself, each crisis is a calamity, but collectively – as each subsystem is linked with associated suprasystems – constitute the catastrophic crises of capitalism in its manifestation: meaning that there are deep structural contradictions and challenges for this country.

What distinguishes between these crises arising from factors outside of country – as exogenous crises – and those generated by contradictions within own domestic economic and political environment, as endogenous crises. Exogenous crises included the inflation that confronted the present caretaker government, the global economic instability of 2008, and the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997, while endogenous crises included those associated with significant developmental phases and turning points, such as oil exploration and exploitation by and with Big Oil, FELDA land resettlement, the New Economic Policy, and Industrialization in the early 1970s, and later premature de-industrialisation and the subsequent financialisation capitalism phase. By the time of capital financialisation, the nation was engulfed with the insurgence of Political Islam, a Ketuan Melayu narrative, state corporated capitalism and increasingly an indulgence in wide-spread odious corruptive practices. In each instance, the resolution of the problems of one crisis carried within it the seeds of the next, a dialectical process which is continuing to the present period of uncertainty in economic affairs and possibility in the furtherance of political instability post-General Elections, November 2022 (GE-15).

These cascading crises are indeed not isolated incidences but formulated policies that subjugated rakyat2 to deliberated dependency to ruling regimes. Dependency Theory became closely identified with the Latin American Left in the 1960s and 1970s, when there was already a long history of such analysis (notably the work of José Carlos Mariátegui in the 1920s). The Cuban Revolution and the ideas of Che Guevara – as well as Andre Gunder Frank’s article in the Monthly Review where he stated that development of underdevelopment is about less developed countries being entrapped in dependence and dominance relationship with rich countries. Only that it also occurs when an ethnocratic governance practices kleptocracy – supported by national corporate capital that is connected to monopoly capital in the Global North that is assisting national kleptocrates to dominate their owned and controlled client states in the country.

All these crises have moments that may be budgetary or fiscal system imbalances and stresses which required policy intervention and innovative resolutions. They are regarded as “crises” in classical political economic sense that we have explored, and expanded, on many other national politico-economic issues for the past ten years in various postings and publications that shall be summarised as a dozen dimensions herein.

1 With neoliberalism economic policies as the preferred approach since independence , but without shared common prosperity nor progressive elements of developmental governance ethos or a new ideal socialist praxis referencing an equitable distribution of social wealth. The preferred present economic growth model undermines, and underdevelops, the country’s developmental effort.

This is compounded right at the birth of nation when coteries of foreign advisors from the Colonial Office, Development Advisory Service Harvard (DASH), the World Bank and International Monetary Fund – successors to IBRD and IDA – and the Asian Development Bank successively spun the narrative threads of neocolonialism, and later neoliberalism, and then bonded by neoimperialism intent that tightened the knots in dashing the country’s vision of betterment on a shared common wealth environment.

Through successive advisory consultancies – since IBRD and IDA had written a 4-volume Reports on Malaysia’s Development Prospects and Plans, surpassing the government Economic Planning Unit’s effort have few local professionals have access to “confidential reports”; the Official Secrets Act has plumbered all discrete leaks, and prevented any constructive opinion local professionals may have. Through this process, the World Bank and its twin entity the International Monetary Fund (IMF) attempted to restructuring the economy  (IMF, 2001) or in implementing an infrastructure project than socio-economic considerations (World Bank 1957) to the quest of  productivity growth (World Bank, 2016) and re-energise public sector (World Bank, 2019), by aiming high to achieve an  accelerating growth path (World Bank, 2021), and to surge ahead  (World Bank 2021b), but most catastrophically, country is still mired and entrapped within capitalism crisis to crisis in a struggle to catching up, (World Bank, 2022) among ASEAN peers:

Reinert 2007; Reinert 2009; Vries 2013; Ohlin et al have collectively argued that structural change and innovative creativeness are the keys to eradicating not only poverty, but a better prospect in sharing a common destiny.

What kind of development does a country need to share wealth within communities and between states? Then, we also need to ask what kind of institutions can promote socio-economic development? Third, how to develop? These three questions are crucial to understand why Malaysia – despite 65 years of “developmental effort” – performance outcomes that are glaringly deteriorated among emerging market countries (EMCs) in ASEAN, and even has accentuated poverty in Sabah and Sarawak states within its borders.

Schumpeter had once outlined a fundamental distinction between economic development and economic growth. This distinction helps us to approach the first question. Mere quantitative growth does not amount to economic development. Schumpeter (1934/2012: 64) had said figuratively that adding successively as many kerera api coaches as one pleases, one shall still never get a railway thereby. GDP growth nor Petronas towers, for example, do not equal an Schumpeterian economic development. Economic development ‘comes from within the economic system and is not merely an adaptation to changes in external data; it occurs discontinuously, rather than smoothly; it brings qualitative changes or “revolutions,” which fundamentally displace old equilibria and create radically new conditions’ (Elliott 2012). A country needs this kind of economic development to escape impoverishment (Reinert 2009), and rakyat² being potentially poverty poors (firestorms, 2021).

Schumpeterian institutions are concerned with the importance of innovation in generating new knowledge and modes of production, which helps move the economic activities to the next ‘stage’ or ‘paradigm’ (Reinert 2000: 11). Schumpeterian institutions tend to focus on production, and this stands in sharp contrast to the view of institutions adopted by mainstream economics and local legacy economists in the Economic Planning Unit (EPU) , which focus on the free market and trade and favours export-led and FDI-driven economic growth (Reinert 2006;Lim Mah Hui, 1982) where transnational corporations suppressed indigenous capitals and exploitated workers through labour arbitrage.

Further, Schumpeterian institutions differ from the World Bank’s conception of ‘good institutions’ including those for ‘building market institutions that promote capital growth to the detriment in poverty reduction and social benefits (World Bank 2002: III).

At a time when 70% of lower-income households cannot even meet monthly basic needs – indeed, more than 60% of these households reported having no savings at all – not much of a difference than 10 years ago:

After six and half decades of sustained neoliberalism economic developmental effort, the nation of Malaysia is still as accentuated in absolute income inequality as ever:

In short, if development in Malaysia is to be self-directed and comprehensively inclusiveness, then traits of such a “developed society should also embrace secularisation, industrialisation, commercialisation, increased social mobility, increased material standard of living and increased education and literacy besides such things as the high consumption of inanimate energy, the smaller agricultural population compared to the industrial, and the widespread social network” (Syed Hussein Alatas, in a paper presented at the Symposium on the Developmental Aims 1996, pp 70-71).

Prof Dr. Mohd Tajuddin Mohd Rasdi, Professor of Architecture, meanwhile, has extended the concept building of what is known as “beehive apartments” for urban poors where each capsule consists of basic living needs; and to allocate graduates and youths with 100 acres of farmland using the latest technology to solve national food security and rural employment, thus encouraging domestic entrepreneurship.

Related article:

Neoliberalism is Neoimperialism

Struggle for Shelters

2 Big Oil exploration, and exploitation of a national resource, witnessed by 1973, nine transnational corporations Big Oil with Petronas were prospecting over 156,954 square miles of the Malaysian continental shelf. This area is larger than the total land mass of the Federation of Malaysia (128,727 square miles). The rapacious character of the transnationals can only be equaled by the obscene haste of the national compradors in granting concessions to the extent of not knowing olefin from a bar of chocolate.

The country had requested national participation on a 65% / 35% government and company basis, respectively. In such a product-sharing agreement, for example, with 100,000 barrels of oil output, 40% of production is deducted from exploration and operating expenses, and the remaining 60,000 barrels to be shared on a 65% / 35% basis. Therefore, the actual result of such contract formulation was that 61% of the oil produced during any given month would go to Big Oil, and only 39% to the country.

Petronas had become the piggy bank for all Malaysia Development Plans as the country gears to an indulgence to subsidies just as it is the fund provider to the ruling regimes through the years:

Related topics:

PETRONAS Peasantry and the Proletariat

Oil Imperialism

3 The New Economic Policy extension and perpetuation has meant poverty is not completely eradicted, but has aggravated with more states and among communities in deep, and widen, poverty:

And where, the poverty rate in Sabah in 2020 was the highest in the nation – more than three times the national average. The real fact is that 36 percent of all those living in poverty in Malaysia are located in Sabah.

Since Malaysia’s New Economic Policy was launched in 1971, there have been a dozen five-year Malaysia Plans, some 50 national budgets and nine prime ministers. Furthermore, 94 different Bumiputera empowerment agencies have been created and an estimated RM1 trillion (US$241 billion at current exchange rates) poured into the Bumiputera agenda, an affirmative action plan to help the majority race.

And yet, here we are still talking about how far the Bumiputeras have fallen behind the non-Bumiputeras, how targets have not been reached, how income inequalities between Malays and non-Malays are increasing, how Malays are still struggling. The reason is that all of these plans are really nothing but a racket designed to enrich kleptocractic class of political elites and their cronies at the expense of the rest of the people of Malaysia.

These recalcitrants responsible for implementing the NEP had caused its failure by letting political-oriented interests taking over politico-economic administration, and economic development management, benefiting other interests by aggravating differentiated social classes within the nation populace with the main problem ambly amplified by AlatasSoongJomoCharles Hirchman  – whether as the consequential byproduct of British colonialism or the ensuing post-independence neo-colonialism. Inadvertently, the country is stuck with a no-growth but stagnated economy, (Sudhdave 2020); that the economy direction is in needs to be changed is real, (Kamal Salih, 01/06/2022) because Vision 2020 is well-blinded (Jomo, 10/12/2020).

The capitalism in crisis would continue  impoverishing the poors in order for capitalism, specifically ethnocapital clientel capitalism – with the political fabrication and construction that had rapidly metamorphosed into policy constructs in the 1970s (Lim Teck Ghee) ensuing as an economic entrenchment of the NEP construct (Woo 2015, James Chin 2016, KBN 2018, Khalid 2019, KRI 2020, Kua 2021 & Diam 2021) which clearly is divisive to the nation’s unity and sense of belonging – to exist and flourish.

Thus, the mere thought in the creation of a Bumiputera
middle class to make the Malays more substantive players in economic growth, but instead the outcome resultans are the neglected poor’s and marginalized Orang Alsi/Asal.

Even in the arena of socio-economic management of marginalised segment of society, however, the country had fallen short. Though the social protection system reaches targeted populace, the benefits to the B20 segment is negligible.

Abang Bennet with a piece in Aliran Monthly Vol 25 (2005): Issue 7 entitled  UMNO: A threat to prosperity whence a political entity is unyielding in promoting Malay political ascendancy, ends with a failure to develop and promote a genuinely Malaysian political outlook as the immediate consequence of this unwillingness in sharing wealth except to and among its own class.

Bumiputera in the top income groups (the top 1 per cent and the 10 per cent) benefited the most, (see Khalid lse.blog, 2019

Related articles:

Ethnocapital and Class

NEP Inequality

4 Industrialisation, in World Bank’s World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains tends to portray capitalism and its inherited globalisation thrust in a global value chaining process as the contribution to poor countries’ development through job creation, poverty alleviation, and economic growth. However, upon interrogating some data, there are sufficient evidence to show a contradictory trend.

One of key arguments for emerging new independent state is to go for industrialisation in seek of comparative advantage whereby firms are more likely to specialize in the tasks in which they are most productive. Second, firms are able to gain from connections with foreign firms, which pass on the best managerial and technological practices countries enjoy faster income growth and falling poverty. What often omitted to mention are transnational corporations in seeking labour arbitrage advantages, and if any labour conflict arise, then to proceed to union busting.

As a result, the initiated industrialisation programme in the 1970s had not promote wide employment, but greater encroachment of transnational corporations (TNCs) in the country. This is about monopoly-capital extracting resources while subjugating workers rights to fair wages and the extraction of surplus value in a dominated country to protect capital.

According to the International Labour Organization, between 1995 and 2013 the number of people employed in global value chains rose from 296 to 453 million, amounting to one in five jobs in the global economy.

However, past performance had shown that there were low employment absorption capacity in the manufacturing sector, especially in the pioneer companies; in fact, the manufacturing sector provided only 5,500 new jobs per year during 1966/67,(Lo Sum-Yee, The Development Performance of West Malaysia, 1955-1967, with special reference to the industrial sector, and E.L.Wheelwright,  Industrialisation in Malaysia.

The global value chain (GVC) world also enhances the dominance of transnational corporations (TNCs), concentrates wealth, represses the incomes of supplier firms in developing countries, and creates many bad jobs (degrading, dirty, dangerous) that demand foreign labour intake with deleterious outcomes for local workers, but if they do protest on working conditions whether through go-slow or collective strikes, union busting by TNCs becomes the directive norms.

Further, in such a globalised scenario of commodity supply chain, the safety of blue waterways is crucial and the geoeconomics of trade routes are vital to pan-regional system of trade and investment as the country tries to remain relevant in the geopolitics of the Asia-Pacific strategy.

More worrisome essentially, the foreign direct investment has been decreasing:

whereas the national debts are increasing as a resultant outcome of continous high operation expenditure with consistent budget deficits since 1998:

with an outsized public sector which is imperfect in its non-productiveness (referenceWorld Bank (2019)Malaysia Economic Monitor: Re-energizing the Public Service):

It is unsurprising that through the years Malaysian manufacturing prowess is uneven, and at times, had deteriorated; during the pandemic, it is definitely not doing well:

Recent decision to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), a trade bloc among 11 countries that aims to reduce trade barriers and facilitate trade among member states has been met with disapproval by NGOs. More pertinent objections are when the PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) Cost Benefits Analysis was published indicating “gaps” and “many questionable claims of benefits”.

Covering these trading disadvantages include:

  • Malaysia’s trade imports could increase to more than USD 2 billion a year compared to exports when import tariffs are brought down to 0%.
  • Job losses are expected when Malaysia is flooded with imported products at more competitive prices compared to local small and medium-sized enterprise (SME)-manufactured products.
  • Increased imports of agricultural products would likely eliminate the livelihood of local agro-food producers. 
  • CPTPP requires that Malaysia signs up to the 1991 International Convention for the Protection of New Varieties of Plants (UPOV) convention, which prohibits seed sharing amongst local farmers, making them beholden to Big Farms agro corporations to procure their seeds, fertilisers and pesticides. 
  • Wide power granted to foreign investors under CPTPP that would tie the Government’s hands to implement affirmative action to the rakyat
  • Corporations are empowered to sue the Malaysian Government if it does not honor the rights given to their investments as per the CPTPP. 

This Agreement is no better than Obama’s TPPA abrogated by the Trump’s administration.

Related articles:

Precarious Labour in Industrialisation Capitalism

Global Labour Arbitrage

Breaking Glass Screen

Dialectical Urbanism

5 Financialization Capitalism emerged as compradore capitalists marginalised in the industrislisation process with lesser economic incentives than the monopoly capitalised transnational corporations. Ethnocapital also felt that a prematured de-industrialisation in 1990s would benefit the ruling class much more easily than producing and marketing physical goods. The financialisation of capitalism that emerged harmed an industrial E&E ecosystem that the latter were nurturing, thus limiting human resources enhancement and deployment, besides not tapping and/or enforcing upon TNCs’ technology-transfer to Malaysia.

The financialization capitalism becomes a pathway towards the widening accumulation of capital. The ensuing profit generated in companies, and the rent elements received by oligarchy individuals, inevitably perpetuate the extraction of outsized surplus values relative to capital “invested”.

It also highlights the longer term on how to rebalancing towards deregulated finance and foundational service sectors (like infrastructural platforms which are incrementally becoming invasive as techno-feudalism in country) franchised by privatisation and outsourcing to Global North monopoly-capital whereby compradore capital accumulates their capital as functioning intermediaries.

Related article:

Financialisation Capitalism

Digital Feudal Lords

Rentier Capitalism follows concurrently with financialisation capitalism engendering an ethnocapital environment that only reinforces all the negative aspects of NEP and kleptocracy excessively indulgence on value extraction.

The fact that the financial capitalisation of the economy, post-1990s coupled to an earlier de-industrialisation process, (Rajah Rasiah, 2011) has accentuated and expanded monetary instruments circulation unfavourably:

In short, the amount of money floating around is not to generate wealth but within the circuit of financialization capitalism   components of FIREs (finance, interests, real estate) in furtherance of repaying mortgage loans, hire purchases, insurances, real estates tax dues and other debt interests to rent-seekers not having to produce physical goods to accumulate capital wealth.

Any social conscious government would know that affirmative action policies should prioritise sectors that have large multiplier effects – that the benefits from such assistance should be spread out to the public and not just be limited to the recipients, and the intermediaries (rentier capitalists) distributing them. Affirmative policies tend to degenerate into perverse patronage and political clientelism, thereby creating a breeding ground for the rent-seeking leeches to suck the life blood of an economy.

Related article:

Rentier Capitalism

Class Analysis of Ethnocapitalism

6 The O&G explorations with Big Oil, the NEP implementation and initialisation of an industrialisation program went hand-in-hand as an expression of economic nationalism with the Guthrie Dawn Raid that formed eventually part of the FELDA scheme stable. However, the story of FELDA to FGV – Cultivators and Capital becomes one of corporate capital exploiting FELDA settler-tenants’ hard-earned incomes into debts repayments with the corporatisation of FELDA land and properties into as the Felda Global Venture (FGV) as another dependency development model

FELDA – a corridor sanitarian was imaged to corral rural Malays to forestall agrarian-urban collaboration with FTZ industrial workers for revolutionary changes. However, the indebtedness to the second-generation of FELDA settlers only aggravated with aggregation in corporate capital’s FGV misadventure as one more odious financial transactions that connected to the suprasystem link destined to debts eventually.

7 Corruptive practices that follow only witness the insurgence of a systemic odious culture that permeated throughout the nation.

From the 1MDB to the suite of cases like the Littoral Combat Ship scandal, the Private Finance Initiatives, and PKFS scandal only displayed the country as a pirated ship plowing waves after waves drowning rakyat2 wealth in its wakes.

These are the sins of commission, omission, and dereliction – of responsibilities that have infiltrated, and enveloped and permeated, the government of a nation state that is bankrupted with ideas to develop but to loot national wealth.

It must further be revealed that the nation had already paid out RM$1.7 billion to service the 1MDB company’s loan interests using RM$459 million from the development allocation and another RM$1.241 billion from the Assets Recovery Trust Account.

That ARTA as of Dec 31, 2021, has only RM$15.281 billion balance presently.

Related article:

State of Nation

The Wealthy Rich

8 The public sector, supporting the dastard nature of kleptocractic practices, has not met the performance criteria deemed a necessity to enhance economic development, but unfurnished as an intermediary medium between political master and to rentier capitalism, and some elements have aligned to gorging unfetted gains with the political kleptocrats and clientele capitalists.

Not infrequent harsh critique of an ethno-administrative regime is the poor performance of the civil service, its sluggish deliverance of public goods and services, slackness in work productivity, and widening misuse of public funds.

All the above issues are aided and abetted by neoliberalism capital endowment in the guise of foreign advisors to dash any hope of an indigenous contribution to proper economic development but an economic growth praxis that engulfed a state of nation crises after crises with subservient subsidies that inhibit an alternative mode in enhancing the development of a country.

9 The government-linked companies as capitalism state corporations, only perpetuated the ethnocapital strongholds on the country.

The GLC world is very closely linked to the policy world, and the policy world is very closely linked to the world of politics. That is the rogue elephant in the political room.

Why is there no attempt to deconstruct this GLC monster — to shape it up and use it properly? Because there is no political will to do so,” so said economist Terence Gomez once.

The concentration of control by the Prime Minister department and the Ministry of Finance are overwhelmingly dominating :

Capitalism State Corporationsnewleftmalaysia 30th November 2021

When PH came into power, the new government did nothing either, as it realised that it could also utilise the GLCs to its benefit.

Related readings:

Impaired Loans Indebted

Class Analysis of Corporate Capital

10 Political Islam ascendency whence increasingly, the voice of liberalism has been articulating that Malaysia’s constitution is secular and it is not an Islamic state or Negara Islam (as was proclaimed by then Prime Minister, Mahathir Mohamad, in September 2001) as there are many attempts to give Muslim law a bigger presence in the country’s legal system. In a piece entitled “Kembalikan Kegemilangan Undang Islam,” (Utusan Malaysia Feb 27, 2014), Zainul Rijal Abu Bakar had attempted to made an argument that “Islamic law” is a “grundnorm” or the “primary norm” in Malaysian law and politics. Basing on the Kelsen’s theory of legality, law is deemed to be neutral about the ethical identity of the state, and as such Islamic Law cannot be the Constitutional Norm (R. Rueban Balasubramaniam, 2014). However, even though the 1957 Federal Constitution had outlined a limited role for the states to administer “Muslim law”, since 1976 a constitutional amendment had amended “Muslim courts” to read “Syariah courts.”

The change in wording soon appeared in statutory law: the Muslim Family Law Act became the Islamic Family Law Act; the Administration of Muslim Law Act became the Administration of Islamic Law Act; the Muslim Criminal Law Offenses Act became the Syariah Criminal Offenses Act; the Muslim Criminal Procedure Act became the Syariah Criminal Procedure Act, and so forth, giving rise to increasing political Islamism in the country.

Already the role of Islam is manifested in many ways:

  • Funding of mosques and other Islamic places of worship from various sources
  • Government funding in support of an Islamic religious establishment
  • Government policy to “infuse Islamic values” into state administration
  • Religious Affairs Department receives zakat  from Muslims.
  • Zakat through enrichment programs funded Muslim children extra education
  • Mosque or surau must be in every new property development.

[ To read also Kikue Hamayotsu: Once a Muslim Always a Muslim that gives credence to the argument that Islam is used simply as a means to ensure the continuation of a corrupt regime ].

The question on how the Malaysian-style of racial accommodation is able to survive when the overall nation-building program had been attempting to look at the three main angles of ideology, race and ethnicity as the nation-building, but without any definitive vision of national goal.

12 The prime problem in country’s politico-economic environment is the feudal structure encased in an ethnocapital domain that perpetuated within the veil of Ketuan Melayu leadership. This domination in political governance – unequal and injustifiable – exists and sustains to the state of a Ketuanan Melayu (Jawi script: كتوانن ملايو; lit.  (“Malay Overlordship“) is a political concept that tends to over-emphasises  Malay preeminence in present-day Malaysia. The Malays of Malaysia have claimed a special position and exceptional rights owing to their perceived comparative longer history in the region and the fact that the present Malaysian state itself evolved from a Malay statehood as narrated.

Pursuant to this Islamic narrative is the spawning political conflicts and economic disparities among the people through race/religion identity politics for wealth accumulation at the top of the social pyramid.

After the post-1969 riots, the Malay establishment (in the appearance of the UMNO political entity and the guise of feudal-royals’ households) had abandoned multiracial politics in favour of the Malay Supremacy ideology. Under Ketuanan Melayu, Malays were behaving superior in all aspects, particularly in the realm of politics that became known as the Malay Agenda. Given that Malay and Islam were synonymous, Malay supremacy was equivalent to Islamic supremacy, too.

Related article:

Rise of Political Islam

Clientel Ethnocapital Colonialism

Ethnocapital and Class

EPILOGUE

The Malay community’s mainstream view on political identity is summed up by James Chin as:

1) Identity Politics in Malaysia is driven by the ideology of Ketuanan Melayu Islam. Most of the Malay elites (Malay political leaders, Islamic religious leaders and JAKIM/bureaucracy) have interpreted the “special position” and “religion of the federation” in the Federal Constitution to mean that the Malays and Islam are politically supreme over all other ethnic and religious groups in Malaysia.

There is due reluctance to accept that Malaysia is a multi-cultural, multi-faith country. Nor do this faulted view consider the totally different environment in the Borneo States of Sabah and Sarawak.

2) The main Malay-based political parties, UMNO and PAS, and more recently PBBM, have all decided that political mobilisation must be based on Malays and Islam, thus reinforcing the beliefs of Ketuanan Melayu Islam. This process is assisted by the network of Malay-Islamic NGOs and private Islamic schools (madrasa like Hanbali, Hanafi, Maliki, and Shafei) resulting in Malay and Muslim community in Malaysia are increasing becoming more intolerant, insensitive, conservative, and even authoritarian.

3) The bureaucratisation of Islam especially by JAKIM perperuates a self-reinforcing blanketed ecosystem. Further, it has created a state-defined version of Sunni Islam for Malaysia and exclude all other Islamic sects which do not conform to this, especially the Shi’a. It is often expressed that JAKIM – and the religious elite – is not only supported generously by the state but is so powerful now that even political leaders fear confronting it (Tawfik Ismail).

4) The ultimate aim of those supporting the Ketuanan Melayu Islam is to create a Malay-Islamic state – an unique version where ethnicity is a major constituting component. This is in direct contradiction of basic Islamic tenets against racism.

Identity politics in Malaysia is inherently intertwined with the rise of political Islam and the creation of Ketuanan Melayu Islam. This unique brand of Islamic supremacy with a racial component has thus, most lamentably, bred an increasingly intolerant and exclusive variety of Islam in Malaysia that will lead the country down a path to nowhere but a society that is less receptive to open dialogue and being less progressive in thoughts and deeds.

Therefore, there is this Umno-produced collapse of Malay political coherence at the centre of national politics emerging. The related failure to develop and promote a genuinely Malaysian political outlook to replace the “rhetoric of Malayness” as the basis of national life, is also the reason for the uncertainty and open-endedness of the current situation as once opined, and again lately, by Clive Kessler.


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Underdevelopment of Development – consolidation of financial monopoly-capitalism

First posted on 7th. October 2022 in csloh.substack; updated with additional materials and illustrated graphics by the Collective on GeoEconomics

The Budget 2023 – introduced on 7th October 2022 – is not unlike capital sitting on a bullock back where financial monopoly-capitalism is trampling on the working class in a padi field kacau bilau the economic development of a nation.

1] At a time when 70% of lower-income households  cannot even meet monthly basic needs – indeed, more than 60% of these households reported having no savings at all – not much of a difference than 10 years ago:

and where these household expenditures are acutely spent on:

But, not every poor, even urban, household has all the requisite food nor valued nutrients (UNICEF 2018):

In the study, Children Without – A study of urban child poverty and deprivation in low-cost flats in Kuala LumpurUNICEF  unearthed:

“That not everyone has benefited equally and that some, notably children, are being left behind,” said Marianne Clark-Hattingh, UNICEF representative in Malaysia. 

VIDEO LINK

Some of the main findings of this study include:

  • Almost all children (99.7 per cent) in low-cost flats live in relative poverty and 7 per cent in absolute poverty.
  • About 15 per cent of children below the age of five are underweight, almost two times higher compared to the KL average (8 per cent).
  • About 22 per cent of the children are stunted, two times higher than the KL average.
  • While almost all of the children aged 7 to 17 are in school, only 50% of 5 to 6 year olds attend pre-school compared to 92% of national enrolment in 2015.
  • About 1 in 3 households surveyed has no reading materials, for children aged below 18.
  • About 4 in 10 households have no toys for the children aged below 5. 

By the time the country entered MCO 2.0, many low-income urban families were already close to breaking point.

The UNICEF 2020 Report has shown that low income female-headed households are exceptionally vulnerable, with higher rates of unemployment at 32% compared to the total heads of households. Female headed households also registered lower rates of access to social protection, with 57% having no access compared to 52% of total heads of households, (see STORM 2021, Urban Poverty Debts and Inequality).

Meanwhile, in Sabah:

The intergenerational transmission of poverty have pervasive negative impacts on human capital formation and poverty reduction, resulting the state having a poverty rate of 19.5%, compared with the national average of 5.6%, and a gross domestic product per capita of RM5,745, compared with the national average of RM7,901, (read csloh.substack, Sabah – a state underdeveloped) where the state’s  poverty rate is three times the national average, and there is a high degree of inequality across districts:

2] After six and half decades of sustained neocolonial economic developmental effort which is nothing but underdevelopment under neoimperialism, the nation of Malaysia is still casted in accentuated absolute income inequality,

SourcesWorld Bank datasets and DoSM statistics

And now, with the continuing food inflation which is above 7% since August 2022:

The Consumer Price Index shall definitely be higher by October 2022 than this May CPI figures:

where Malaysia’s food inflation is to remain on an upward path – MIDF Research, May 2022. However, in the worst-case scenario, average headline inflation would rise to 8.9% if the government opted to float fuel prices and food inflation averaged at 10%.

3] Though labour employment is attaining well, the gig-economy – where 23% of workers are employed nowadays , it is zero-hour employment without much of a safety net nor social benefits, and the Big Tech is exploitating such infrastructural platforms’ labour force.

Youth unemployment, however, has remained high and unchanged since the last quarter of 2022 at 11.1 percent. Although in the 35-44 years age cohort, the unemployment rate was down to 1.6 percent in Q1 2022 (Q4 2021: 2 percent), it is the size of the 15-24 age populated sector that is of concern:

Consistently, this segment of youth unemployment percentage is well above the national average of 4%.Of the many important economic development issues confronting the country, besides the existing inflation, and specter of a stagflation, is the existence of youth unemployment, especially when job opportunities are not filled by local youth.

The education sector in Sabah, for instance, is a factor in achievement deficiency:

A higher proportion of young generation in Sarawak and Sabah does not have a certificate or obtain a primary schooling, and worst, many of the youngsters (age: 5-19) just do not attend schooling:

The inequality factor contributes to poverty leading to unconducive home environmental conditions affecting the education performance of the young generation. What is often not highlighted by mainstream media nor even legacy economists are the issues of food security, nutritional values, adequate health facilities and a healthy environment that shall enable wider, and better, economic development impact, (see World Bank Report on China).

Here’s one multi-dimensional research that was highlighted by World Bank, UNICEF, Institute of Public Health Malaysia and DoSM reports regarding human resources development requisites, summarised:

4] Then, there is the problem of Malaysian women remain held back from the labour force. This comes about when country’s female workforce has one of the lowest participations in Southeast Asia:

The over-dependence on cheap migrant labour had kept the economy stagnant and erodes the incentive to invest in higher value-added activities, indirectly suppressing local labour gaining wage increments.

5] Not to be ignored is that in the World Bank Monitor June 2022 Report  “Catching Up: Inclusive Recovery & Growth for Lagging States”, points to 5 states, namely Kedah, Perlis, Kelantan, Sabah, and Sarawak, with the lowest average income and highest incidences of poverty:

Despite the various consultancy pleads to restructure the economy (Ohlin et al) and re-energising the civil service (World Bank, 2019), and aiming high to achieve growth (World Bank, 2021), and to surge ahead (World Bank 2021b), the country is still mired in a struggle to catching up, (World Bank, 2022).

6] Malaysia’s Budget 2023 may be expansive at RM$372 billion, but it has fiscal limitations, according to the present World Bank’s lead economist for Malaysia, Apurva Sanghi. At best, the main policy implementation focus is just cash transfers and other types of assistance to the lower- and middle-income households, while mainly, and specifically, catering to the capital contractoring class handling big project items in Jendela IT or the various Sabo-type dam constructions or the completion of the Pan-Borneo Highway which is, a robbery taking every rakyat for a ride.

A typical sabo dam layout as built in Gunung Inai and Gunung Jerai

These policy measures for the consumer is partially financed – as in previous years – by increased dividend payments from Petronas and Khazanah; read STORM 2022, Subservient to Subsidies in Financialization Capitalism.

[ JENDELA, according to Fitch Solutions: there is potential lack of transparency because its rollout is through a Special Purpose Vehicle; three crony ICT companies have been appointed as management service providers (MSP); see STORM’s Digital Knight ].

Through the years, with many misconceived large projects to favour clientel cronies, since 1998 the country has endowed with persistent budget deficits:

Richard Record, a past World Bank Group’s lead economist for Malaysia, advised that the country needs to raise more revenue and spend it more effectively. “Malaysia, of course, benefits from having oil and gas revenues as a source of non-tax revenue, but these have tended to be quite volatile,” he once told The Edge.

For one reason, present revenue collection is low mostly because rates are low and there are so many allowances and exemptions. Indeed, there should be greater effort across tax instruments: to increase the progressivity of personal income tax, re-examine the number and targeting of corporate income tax incentives and to consider new sources of revenue such as  environmental taxation and capital gains taxation or  wealth tax. The introduction of capital gains tax, raising the tax rate for those in the top individual tax bracket and imposing a tax on retirement savings above a certain threshold were among the suggestions on how to enhance revenue in the World Bank Report, 2021.

To consider implementing a windfall tax on industries that benefit greatly from the Covid-19 crisis, according to Khazanah Research Institute senior advisor  Professor Dr Jomo Kwame Sundaram, and Institute of Malaysian and International Studies research fellow Dr Muhammed Abdul Khalid has pointed out that policymakers tend to ignore the imposition of capital gains tax when it comes to the issue of tax reform because it is going to affect the very well-off; even as Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) assistant governor Dr Norhana Endut noted that the government’s tax collection capacity had not kept pace with the economic growth.

Indeed, Malaysia tax to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio, has been on a steady decline over the medium term. It fell to 12% in 2019 from 15.6% in 2012.

7] Whereas, the national debt is increasing:

And, the financial capitalisation of the economy, post-1990s with a premature de-industrialisation process, (Rajah Rasiah, 2011) has expanded monetary instruments circulation unfavourably:

In short, the amount of money floating around is not to generate wealth but within the circuit of financialization capitalism   components of FIREs (finance, interests, real estate) in furtherance of repaying mortgage loans, hire purchases, insurances, real estates tax dues and other debt interests.

On this aspect, Malaysia’s individual income tax comes from a narrow pool of taxpayers: in 2018, among a labour force of 15 million people, only 2.5 million were taxpayers!

The tax rate for the top income bracket in Malaysia is a low 25%, compared to other Asian countries such as Korea (38%) and Thailand (35%).

More than ever, the debt incurred over the past two years has increased dramatically, and this process has made substantially worse by fast-rising interest rates that shall make debt-servicing a lot  more costly.

Indeed, World Bank’s  Richard Record had further indicated that Malaysia has already depleted much of its available fiscal space and would emerge from the current crisis with a larger burden of debt and contingent liabilities despite the debt ratio had been approved by Parliament to increase from 55% to 60% of the gross domestic product (GDP). There would be difficult intertemporal constraints to further expand expenditures on relief and consumption-supporting stimulus over the near term.

8] That as a result of the increase in debt, interest payments on the national debt have also gone up to such an extent that  for every RM1 accrued in revenue, 16 sen are used to pay interest.

Indeed, when we are in a situation when half of the new debt is used to pay for the old (but still accruing) debt, this is a situation when country cannot allow such an ethnocapital kleptocracy to continue forever; otherwise, we shall be categorized like one of these failed states:

[In 2021, 52.4 percent of our gross borrowings was used to settle outstanding debts alone!]

The factual reality is that in 2021, of the RM$62.317 billion allocated to the Development Fund, only RM$40.994 billion (65.8 percent) was used for development expenditure purposes, compared to RM$37.53 billion (77.3 percent) in 2020.

Indeed, a total of RM$12.612 billion (20.2 percent) was used to pay back PFI (Private Finance Initiative) liabilities and guarantee commitments, and RM$8.711 billion (14 percent) was just used on the operating expenses for development.

On top of the PFI scandal, it can now be revealed that the nation paid out RM$1.7 billion to service the 1MDB company’s loan interests using RM$459 million from the development allocation and another RM$1.241 billion from the Assets Recovery Trust Account.

That ARTA as of Dec 31, 2021, has only RM$15.281 billion balance presently.

Auditor-General Nik Azman Nik Abdul Majid has warned that borrowing money for principal repayment of matured loans can only be a short-term and temporary measure and that Malaysia needs to find a long-term solution to the problem because these loans are meant and not  utilised fully for development purposes.

9] The Budget 2023 has not introduced major tax policy reforms, thus conforming an  Capitalism, Capital Accumulation and Clientele Capitalism environment.

That there are no major tax policy reforms –  major introductions or changes in corporate, personal income, capital (property) gains taxes or a windfall tax as well as inheritance tax and transnational corporate tax – are unsurprising in a capital-ethos and financial monopoly-capital-led economy

On the other hand, relieving financial corporates of wealth tax or a windfall tax, but to introduce the Tax Identification Number only exposes a ruling regime willing to come down harsh on the informal economy – thereby, most probably, increasing the incidence of poverty among the most vulnerable groups in society.

It is not about minimising inflation as claimed by neoliberal economists, but protection of the ruling capital class on their corporate assets and consequential capital accumulation. The real problem facing country is not an inflation crisis caused by too much money chasing too few goods but a distributional (wealth-sharing) crisis with too many firms paying too high remunerations and dividends to their directors; too many rakyat2 struggling from monthly wages to monthly pay cheques (see various UNICEF Reports; and Families on the edge ), and an inept – and unelected – ruling regime surviving from bond payment to oil extraction flows in a world of Sukhdaven burden privilege to the Malaysian economy:

And, at a time when the International Monetary Fund has already cut its global growth projection for 2022 to 3.2 per cent before slowing even further to 2.9 per cent in 2023. Whereas, UNCTAD expects the world economy to be even worsen, with growth in 2023 expected to decelerate further to 2.2%, leaving real GDP still below the pre-pandemic trend by the end of next year and a cumulative shortfall of more than US$17 trillion – close to 20% of the world’s income.

10] Some has asked whether

From a latest survey, while the euro fell 15.31%, the British pound dropped 17.57% and the Japanese yen tumbled 29.96%, as according to Bloomberg

And, where the Malaysia main trading partners are:

And the global inflationary trend is rising:

just as the inflationary rates of energy and grain produce are gaining heights:

As a country depending on three main trading partners where the US and EU are experiencing profound inflation flights, and China under a supply chain bottleneck, the resultant depreciation of the Malaysian  ringgit is expected. On 26th September, 2022, the ringgit did dropped to RM$4.60 to US$ – the value of ringgit is worse  than Sept 2015 during the peak of the 1MDB scandal and the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.

While Malaysia’s largest trading partners are China, Singapore, Europe and US, around 80% of the nation’s exports and imports are in the greenback US$.

In contrast, only between 4% and 5% of Malaysian trade are conducted in the ringgit.

Reminded, too, that:

11] Our present economy scenario is compounded by contrary to net foreign inflow of RM$6.1 billion in Malaysian equities year-to-date, the local bond market recorded net foreign outflow of RM$3.23 billion. Heightened uncertainty and tightening global financial conditions have contributed to portfolio outflows from domestic bond markets and reduced inflows into the equity market in recent months.

Schroders, which runs the the £2.7 billion UK Real Estate fund; Columbia Threadneedle (£2.3 billion Pooled Property fund), and BlackRock (£3.5 billion UK Property fun) — as well as a smaller fund run by CBRE have admitted that they could not meet the pace of redemptions; read naked capitalism, 7th. October, 2022.

By April, 2022, non-resident outflows from domestic bond funds amounted to RM$2.2 billion (March 2022: RM$4.0 billion), while inflows into the equity market declined from RM3.3 billion in March to RM0.8 billion in April, (World Bank Economic Monitor on Malaysia, June 2022).

It is the expectation that more money one borrows, the harder it is to pay it back and the higher your likelihood of default. The greater risk is that by pumping more money into the economy, the government will fuel further inflation.

The Malaysian  Federal Government Debt  and liabilities rose to RM$1.2569 trillion, or 87.3% of GDP, by end-September 2020 – up 7.5% in the first nine months of that year compared with RM$1.1692 trillion as at end-2019.  Indeed, country’s revenue is not rising as fast as the increase in operating expenditure that is more than 95% of revenue since 2008

In fact, total government debt and liabilities as of June 2022 is estimated to be at RM$1.42 trillion and will rise further next year. Total debt and liabilities are about 82 per cent of GDP.

When one was assuming the national economy destined to expand by 7.5% in nominal terms during year 2021 to RM$1,521.3bil, Malaysia’s official debt to GDP and  total  debt to GDP was then expected to rise to 64.1% and  77.9%, respectively, but it would not be so pulsating in year 2023 under an uncharted territory.

Likely, there shall be Uncertainties in Malaysia’s Economic Recovery, Cassey Lee, ISEAS, Singapore, 19/05/2022; where budget implementation may be a problematic issue, DoSM, 2022; the 2023 budget has ignored economic reform and added to continued bloating of the public service, Hunter, 7/10/2022, (see csloh, Public Sector Performance, 10/10/2022); growth will likely moderate to 4 per cent next year as global headwinds continue to strengthen,  Shannon Teoh; to ponder whether such budget can ever eradicate leakages and eliminate corruption, Emir Research; inadvertently, the budget shall benefit the clientel ethnocapital and the corporate capital ruling class in the country, theedgemarkets.

Again, nearly three-quarter of the 2023 budgetary allocation of RM$372.3 billion is swallowed up by day-to-day administrative operational expenditures; subsidised goodies to humour rakyat2, but tax cuts to capital accumulators.

[ In the case of Malaysia, our total debt service is the sum of principal repayments and interest actually paid in currency, goods, or services on long-term debt, interest paid on short-term debt, and including repayments (repurchases and charges) to the IMF ].

12] In conclusion, when inflation is high, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will set about undoing these actions by tightening monetary policy, and markets will make you pay with higher bond yields. Boost the economy with borrowed money, and you will see the gains clawed back by higher interest rates. The resulting economic contraction and inflation will erase whatever economic gains through “freebies and free lunches” through subsidies.

Always remembering that subsidies stimulus is a class war waged against the 99 per cent by the elite 1 per cent. Often the money extracted from the working class through inflation is transferred to the rich as subsidies and tax cuts to promote capital accumulation.

And, this is exactly the basis of Budget 2023 on a bullock back.

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